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Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild 100% Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner 100% Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $238K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 21.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 22.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 23.5100%
Completed Match99%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 Winner0%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cordenons: matyas fule vs thiago seyboth wild stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Fule and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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