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2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Five-platform snapshot of "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

28% YES 72% NO Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $73K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
Trade on Kalshi UK →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi UK Pick
polygram.ink
28% 72% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
28% 72% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.

Active sub-markets

Aryna Sabalenka28% YES73% NO
Coco Gauff8% YES92% NO
Elena Rybakina16% YES84% NO
Naomi Osaka1% YES99% NO
Madison Keys1% YES99% NO
Barbora Krejcikova1% YES99% NO

Market context

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no wi

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 28% probability for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)".

YES 28% NO 72%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.4M.

Methodology

This page reviews 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Trade on Kalshi UK →