Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Brian Campbell | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Corey Conners | 22% YES | 78% NO |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Ryan Fox | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday runs annually at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically in early June. The 2026 edition settles on 7 June, with the market currently pricing all listed players at 0% YES across Polygon-based conditional tokens. This reflects either an incomplete roster of contenders or genuine uncertainty about field composition ahead of the official entry deadline. On Polymarket, USDC liquidity pools for individual player contracts remain thin until closer to tournament week, when conditional token pricing typically tightens around actual odds.
Historical Memorial winners demonstrate the tournament's competitive depth: Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, and Patrick Cantlay have claimed titles in recent years, yet the field regularly produces surprise victors from outside the favourites. The 2024 edition saw Scottie Scheffler triumph, reinforcing that elite ranking correlates strongly with success at Muirfield's demanding layout. However, the 0% pricing across all listed names suggests the market may be awaiting confirmation of the full field or reflecting structural issues with how the contract was populated.
Traders should monitor PGA Tour announcements regarding field confirmations, which typically occur four to six weeks before the tournament. Injury updates for top-ranked players—particularly those in the world's top 20—will shift conditional token valuations materially. Weather forecasts for early June at Muirfield Village become relevant in the final fortnight, as course conditions historically favour certain playing styles. The resolution mechanism hinges on official PGA Tour records, making any appeals or playoff outcomes critical to settlement timing.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $429K.
Methodology
This page reviews PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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