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2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner

How the prediction-market book is pricing "2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

50% YES 50% NO Volume: $345K Liquidity: $98K Closes: 8 Jun 2026
Trade on Kalshi UK →
2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi UK Pick
polygram.ink
 50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.

Active sub-markets

Player D—
Player F—
Player K—
Carlos Alcaraz0% YES100% NO
Novak Djokovic6% YES94% NO
Daniil Medvedev0% YES100% NO

Market context

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 50% probability for "2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner".

YES 50% NO 50%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $345K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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