Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Uruguay Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Uruguay and Cabo Verde played a FIFA World Cup match on 21 June 2026, ending in a 2–2 draw after a high-intensity contest that generated significant attacking pressure from both sides[1][2]. The game concluded with 15 total corners recorded, a figure that decisively settled the prediction market contract titled "Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde – Total Corners" as a 100% YES outcome[5].
Historically, World Cup matches between a top-tier nation like Uruguay and a lower-ranked opponent such as Cabo Verde often produce elevated corner counts due to sustained attacking dominance and defensive resilience. In this fixture, Uruguay created 12 corners while Cabo Verde added 3, mirroring patterns seen in comparable Group H previews where Uruguay averaged 14 corners per match against resilient defences[5][6]. Such data frames the current probability not as an anomaly but as a statistically consistent result grounded in on-pitch dynamics.
Traders should monitor official match reports and post-game statistics for final corner tallies, as these are the primary dependencies for contract settlement. Recent coverage from ESPN UK confirms the final score and corner distribution, providing the definitive on-chain settlement data required for USDC payouts on the Polygon network[1]. Conditional tokens governing this market will resolve automatically once the official FIFA match report is published, ensuring transparent and timely settlement for Polymarket users[2].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $808K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Total Corners on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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