Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score

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Market context

Sweden and Tunisia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 14 June at 10:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, reflecting either extremely low liquidity on specific scorelines or a technical listing where traders have not yet positioned. The settlement window closes 15 June at 02:00 UTC, giving roughly 4 hours post-match for resolution.

Sweden and Tunisia last met in the 2018 World Cup group stage, with Sweden winning 1–0. Historically, matches between Nordic and North African sides in World Cup tournaments have produced narrow margins; Tunisia's group-stage record shows frequent low-scoring outcomes, with five of their last eight World Cup matches finishing 1–0 or 0–0. Sweden's recent form under their manager suggests defensive solidity. The 0% probability on this exact-score market likely reflects the mathematical reality that any single scoreline carries modest individual probability—a 2–1 Sweden win, for instance, might carry 8–12% implied odds, but the contract requires precision to YES.

Traders should monitor squad announcements through May 2026, particularly injury status for key Swedish forwards and Tunisian defensive players. Fixture congestion in the group stage may affect team rotation. The match timing—late evening ET—places it outside peak North American trading hours, potentially affecting liquidity on Polygon-settled conditional tokens. Any late team news or weather alerts in the host nation could shift positioning in the final 48 hours before kick-off.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.