Scotland vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland and Morocco face off at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, at 6 p.m. ET on Friday, 19 June 2026, in a pivotal Group C clash where both sides need points to secure progression. The on-chain market for an exact score currently trades at 11% YES for a specific outcome, priced in USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens, reflecting tight liquidity and the high variance of precise scorelines in football.

Historical precedents from recent World Cup matches between African and European sides show that exact scores like 1-1 or 2-1 occur with notable frequency, yet the crowd-implied 11% probability suggests the market is pricing a less common result. KickOff UK’s predictive algorithm estimates a 57% chance of a Morocco win and an 81% probability that Scotland scores one goal or fewer, while FootballWhispers forecasts a 1-1 draw with both teams scoring, indicating that the 11% figure likely targets a narrow margin such as 1-2 or 2-1 rather than a draw [1][2].

Traders should monitor final line-up announcements and Steve Clarke’s tactical setup, as Morocco’s ranked seventh world status and strong defensive record could dictate a low-scoring affair. DraftKings projects a 2-0 Morocco win with a two-goal margin, and Covers.com highlights Under 2.5 goals as a top pick, suggesting that any exact score market must account for Morocco’s offensive strength and Scotland’s defensive limitations [3][4]. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 19 June, with no extra time or penalties included, making pre-match tactical shifts the primary catalyst for price movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Scotland vs. Morocco - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.