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Paraguay vs. France - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "Paraguay vs. France - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 89% Michael Olise: 1+ shots 84% Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots 81% Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target 78% Volume: $171K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Paraguay vs. France - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots89%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots84%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots81%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target78%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots76%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots67%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals65%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots64%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots64%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots51%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots48%
Álex Arce: 1+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots on target48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots on target48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots on target48%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots on target48%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target48%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots on target48%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots on target48%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots on target48%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots on target48%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target48%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots on target48%
Brice Samba: 2+ saves48%
Brice Samba: 3+ saves48%
Brice Samba: 4+ saves48%
Brice Samba: 5+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 2+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 3+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 4+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 5+ saves48%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ goals + assists48%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals + assists48%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals + assists48%
Julio César Enciso: 4+ goals + assists48%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists48%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assists48%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 3+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 4+ goals + assists48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals + assists48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assists48%
Álex Arce: 2+ shots on target47%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots46%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots45%
Álex Arce: 1+ shots42%
Michael Olise: 1+ assists42%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals41%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists41%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots36%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals + assists36%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals34%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals + assists33%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists29%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals28%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists28%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots24%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots23%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots23%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals22%
Álex Arce: 2+ shots22%
Michael Olise: 5+ shots22%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots20%
Álex Arce: 3+ shots19%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots19%
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots18%
Álex Arce: 5+ shots16%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots14%
Michael Olise: 2+ assists14%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals11%
Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ shots11%
Désiré Doué: 5+ shots10%
Miguel Almirón: 3+ shots10%
Désiré Doué: 1+ assists10%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals9%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals9%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals + assists9%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals8%
Álex Arce: 4+ shots7%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots7%
Julio César Enciso: 4+ shots7%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ assists6%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists6%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals5%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals5%
Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ shots5%
Désiré Doué: 2+ assists5%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ assists5%
Álex Arce: 1+ goals4%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals3%
Miguel Almirón: 4+ shots3%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ assists3%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists3%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ assists3%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals2%
Julio César Enciso: 5+ shots2%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ assists2%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ assists2%
Álex Arce: 2+ goals1%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals1%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals1%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals1%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals1%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 89% probability to paraguay vs. france - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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