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Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ghana Corners: O/U 1.5 77% Total Corners: O/U 6.5 75% 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 71% Colombia Corners: O/U 4.5 68% Volume: $307K Liquidity: $771K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ghana Corners: O/U 1.577%
Total Corners: O/U 6.575%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.571%
Colombia Corners: O/U 4.568%
Team to Take First Corner64%
Total Corners: O/U 7.563%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.560%
Colombia Corners: O/U 5.555%
Ghana Corners: O/U 2.555%
Total Corners: O/U 8.550%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.549%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.541%
Total Corners: O/U 9.540%
Colombia Corners: O/U 6.540%
Ghana Corners: O/U 3.536%
Total Corners: O/U 10.529%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.527%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.526%
Total Corners: O/U 11.520%
Total Corners: O/U 12.514%

Market context

The Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners prediction market currently prices this outcome at 77% YES. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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