Colombia vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Colombia and DR Congo will face off in a FIFA World Cup Group K match tonight at 10:00 PM ET, with the market focusing solely on the exact score after 90 minutes of regulation. On Polymarket, this contract currently trades at a 9% implied probability for a specific outcome, priced in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens. The liquidity reflects a tight on-chain view where the market is shading toward a low-scoring affair, with the combined total goals line set at 2.5 and the under favoured at minus 140.

Historical precedents suggest Colombia’s dominance over African opposition, having won their last three World Cup matches against African teams, while DR Congo recently lost 2-1 to Chile and sits significantly lower in the FIFA rankings at 46 compared to Colombia’s 13. Comparable cases in World Cup history show that when a top-ranked team faces a lower-ranked opponent with a compact defensive structure, the exact score often resolves to narrow margins like 2-0 or 1-0, which aligns with the current 9% probability for a specific scoreline.

Traders should monitor the final line-ups announced shortly before kick-off and any pre-match tactical shifts, particularly whether DR Congo maintains their compact structure against Colombia’s possession-based style. Recent analysis from August Young at Doc’s Sports highlights the under 2.5 goals as the primary play, noting Colombia’s preference for controlled possession and Congo’s defensive compactness as key catalysts for a low-scoring result [4]. The settlement window closes at 02:00:00Z on 24 June 2026, so all on-chain positions must be managed before this deadline to avoid exposure to the "Any Other Score" resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.