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Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props

Live odds for "Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 88% Erling Haaland: 2+ shots 81% Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 80% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 79% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots88%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots81%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots80%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots79%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots76%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots75%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots66%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots66%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots64%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target48%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target48%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target48%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target48%
Alisson: 2+ saves48%
Alisson: 4+ saves48%
Alisson: 5+ saves48%
Ørjan Nyland: 2+ saves48%
Ørjan Nyland: 3+ saves48%
Ørjan Nyland: 5+ saves48%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists48%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists48%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists48%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists48%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists48%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists48%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists48%
Raphinha: 2+ goals + assists48%
Raphinha: 3+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists48%
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target46%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots45%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals44%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots43%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots42%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals41%
Raphinha: 1+ goals + assists41%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots40%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target40%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots37%
Ørjan Nyland: 4+ saves35%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists35%
Alisson: 3+ saves34%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists34%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target33%
Raphinha: 4+ goals + assists33%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists32%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists32%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals31%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots31%
Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists31%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots30%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target29%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots28%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target28%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists28%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists28%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target27%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots26%
Raphinha: 2+ shots26%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists26%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists25%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots24%
Raphinha: 1+ shots23%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots22%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target22%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots21%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target21%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots20%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists20%
Erling Haaland: 5+ shots18%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists18%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals17%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots16%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots15%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots14%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target14%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals13%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals13%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target13%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target13%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals12%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists12%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists12%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots11%
Raphinha: 3+ shots11%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists11%
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists11%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots9%
Raphinha: 1+ goals8%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots8%
Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots7%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots7%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots7%
Raphinha: 4+ shots7%
Raphinha: 1+ assists7%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals6%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals5%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals3%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals3%
Raphinha: 5+ shots3%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists3%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists3%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots2%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists2%
Erling Haaland: 2+ assists2%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists2%
Raphinha: 2+ assists2%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals1%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals1%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals1%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals1%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 2+ goals1%
Raphinha: 3+ goals1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 88% probability to brazil vs. norway - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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