Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Everton FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Everton FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Tottenham Hotspur will host Everton at 11:00 AM ET on 24 May 2026, the final day of the Premier League season. The 100% implied probability on Polymarket's conditional token contract reflects settlement certainty rather than match outcome confidence—this market exists to capture ancillary betting on the fixture itself, with traders holding USDC on Polygon to back subsidiary propositions once the primary match event resolves. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC, giving roughly four hours post-kick-off for resolution.
End-of-season Premier League fixtures historically carry unpredictable dynamics. Teams already relegated or mathematically safe from relegation often field weakened sides, whilst those chasing European qualification or fighting the drop deploy full-strength lineups. Tottenham's final-day positioning will determine squad selection intensity; if they've secured Champions League qualification weeks prior, rotation becomes likely. Everton's recent seasons have seen variable finishes between mid-table security and relegation-form struggles, making their May motivation context-dependent. The 2022–23 season saw several final-day upsets when stakes shifted mid-week through other results.
Traders should monitor team news releases from mid-May onwards, particularly injury updates and managerial statements on rotation policy. Fixture congestion earlier in May—European competitions, FA Cup replays, or mid-week league fixtures—will influence fatigue levels. Weather conditions at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and any late-season rule changes affecting squad eligibility warrant attention. Official Premier League fixture confirmations typically arrive 10 days before the match date.
Methodology
We track Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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