Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Burnley FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Burnley and Wolverhampton meet on the final day of the 2025–26 Premier League season on 24 May 2026. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, reflecting either a decisive settlement expectation or minimal liquidity depth at the extremes. The conditional token mechanics on Polygon mean traders are staking USDC against the outcome of this specific fixture, with settlement tied to the official Premier League result once confirmed post-match.
Historical context matters here: both clubs have experienced significant volatility in recent seasons, with Burnley relegated in 2022 before Championship consolidation and Wolves navigating mid-table instability. Final-day matches often carry reduced predictive weight compared to mid-season fixtures, as both sides' league position and remaining objectives shape team selection and intensity. The 0% pricing suggests either that one side is mathematically eliminated from contention by that date, or that the market perceives an extremely lopsided fixture outcome as near-certain.
Traders should monitor squad news, injury reports, and final-day permutations as May approaches. Confirmation of either club's European qualification status, relegation battle involvement, or domestic cup commitments will influence tactical approach. Official team news typically emerges 48 hours before kickoff; the Premier League fixture list and any postponement announcements remain the primary catalyst for repricing. Settlement hinges on the official match result published by the Premier League, with the window closing at 15:00 UTC on match day.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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