Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Chelsea meet Manchester City in the FA Cup final, and Polymarket currently prices the contract at 0% YES, which on the Polygon market means no USDC is presently assigned to the conditional token for the win outcome. In practical terms, that leaves the market saying the event has either already settled against the thesis or is no longer trading with any meaningful probability left before the settlement window closes. For comparison, cup-final contracts usually only sit at zero when the result is effectively resolved; a live match with no update would normally retain some residual price until the outcome is confirmed on-chain.

Recent reporting from ESPN and Fox Sports shows Manchester City won 1-0, with Antoine Semenyo scoring in the 72nd minute and the match ending at Wembley. That matters because Polymarket settlement depends on the stated event outcome rather than broader form, so the key catalyst is not team news but whether the oracle and market resolution reflect the final score before the 14:00 UTC settlement cut-off. Sky Sports’ live match page also tracks the fixture as completed, which reinforces that any remaining uncertainty is administrative rather than sporting.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.