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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 90% Both Teams Beat Roshan 90% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $238K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between PuckChamp and Team Lynx in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Champi… on Kalshi UK

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