Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION and PlayTime were due to meet in a DreamLeague Season 29 group-stage best-of-three, and Polymarket is pricing the conditional token at 100% YES, meaning the market is effectively treating a PARIVISION win as locked in on-chain. For a Polymarket user, that means USDC liquidity on Polygon is already expressing a near-certain settlement in favour of PARIVISION, with little room for a contrary view unless the result is formally overturned or the market resolves through a non-standard outcome under the contract rules.
That level of pricing is consistent with the pre-match framing from other esports feeds, which had PARIVISION rated the stronger side: GosuGamers listed them 4th globally against PlayTime at 23rd, while BO3.gg showed PARIVISION’s series odds skewed heavily towards a 2-0 or 2-1 win rather than an upset. Comparable cases in Dota best-of-threes tend to move sharply once a favourite has already taken the series or when the match state is effectively settled; in practice, 100% pricing usually reflects either completed results filtering through or an illiquid market where traders see no credible path to reversal.
The main catalyst to watch is not gameplay anymore but settlement mechanics: whether DreamLeague confirms a completed PARIVISION win, whether any game was forfeited or defaulted, and whether the match was actually played in full before the 23:40 UTC settlement window. ESL’s DreamLeague coverage and match pages are the relevant references for final status, while scoreboard sites such as Sofascore, GosuGamers and DLTV provide corroboration if the official bracket lags. If the fixture was abandoned, delayed beyond seven days, or left unresolved, the market’s 50-50 fallback clause would matter more than the in-game scoreline.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague G… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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