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Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $389K Liquidity: $259K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Match Winner28%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)25%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Virtus.pro and NIP in the RES Showdown Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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