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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5) 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $239K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between ex-MANA eSports and Inner Circle Academy in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 15 at 7:00AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Acad… on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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