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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 75% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5) 75% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)75%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)62%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-12.5) vs largadosypelados (+12.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)48%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)38%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)38%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.538%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.525%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)25%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between largadosypelados and Imperial in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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