Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this Zhejiang Zhiye FC v Shandong Taishan FC more-markets contract at 100% YES, so the USDC on Polygon is effectively treating the listed thresholds as already settled rather than genuinely contested. For users holding the conditional tokens, that means the market is signalling no meaningful room for a late change in the available stat lines before settlement at 12:00 UTC, with the contract anchored to the Chinese Super League fixture itself rather than any broader season view.
The historical frame is fairly blunt: these sides have tended to produce usable volume in the more markets. ESPN’s listed match prices point to a relatively open game state, with both teams coming in on positive scoring profiles and the total set around 3.5 goals, while Sofascore’s H2H record shows a 2-2 draw in their most recent meeting and AIScore records 30 meetings overall, with Shandong winning 16 and Zhejiang 8. That mix usually matters for shots, corners and cards markets because it suggests the match has not been one of extreme control or ultra-low event counts.
The main catalysts to watch are team news, the confirmed line-ups and any late change to kick-off conditions or match status. Sportsgambler’s preview notes both clubs have already named strong starting XIs, with Zhejiang built around Mitrita, Tolic and Di Gao, and Shandong featuring Cryzan and Valeri Qazaishvili, which supports the expectation of full-strength match data feeding the more markets. If there were any official postponement, abandonment or statistical recording issue, that would be the only obvious dependency capable of disrupting settlement on a contract already priced at the ceiling.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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