Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Shanghai Haigang FC will face Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC on 23 May 2026 in a Chinese Super League fixture. The Polymarket contract for additional markets on this matchup is currently priced at 0% YES, reflecting either minimal trading activity or a structural absence of demand for supplementary betting instruments on this particular fixture. Settlement occurs at 11:00 UTC on match day, well after the 7:00 AM ET kick-off, allowing sufficient time for match resolution and market clarification.
Chinese Super League fixtures involving mid-table clubs typically attract modest secondary-market interest on Polymarket, particularly when conditional token structures require traders to hold positions across multiple correlated contracts. Historical precedent suggests that additional markets—such as exact scorelines, player performance thresholds, or booking accumulation—rarely command significant liquidity unless one club carries substantial backing from international betting syndicates or the fixture carries playoff implications. Shanghai Haigang and Tianjin Jinmen Hu lack the brand recognition of Shanghai SIPG or Beijing Guoan, which constrains speculative positioning on derivative markets.
Traders monitoring this contract should track official CSL fixture confirmations and any late-season squad changes announced by either club in the weeks preceding May. Injuries to key players or managerial changes can shift market expectations retroactively, though such announcements rarely materialise within days of settlement. The conditional token mechanics on Polygon mean that YES resolution depends on Polymarket's decision to launch supplementary markets—a discretionary action tied to platform capacity and user demand rather than the underlying match outcome alone.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More … on PolyGram
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