Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Shanghai Shenhua host Wuhan Three Towns in the Chinese Super League, and Polymarket is pricing this “more markets” contract at 100% YES, so the conditional token effectively reflects an assumption that all listed sub-markets will resolve in the affirmative. For a user holding the position, that means the trade is not about the result in isolation but about whether the game produces enough qualifying events across the specific props before the 11:35 UTC settlement window closes.
The historical frame is fairly one-sided, but not fully clean-cut. Shanghai Shenhua have had the better of the head-to-head overall, with FootyStats putting them on four wins from the last eight meetings and 14 goals scored to Wuhan’s nine, while ESPN records a 2-0 Shanghai win in their most recent completed league meeting in April 2025. Even so, Wuhan have taken points in the past and did beat Shanghai 1-0 in August 2025, which is a reminder that past dominance does not guarantee a sweep of more-markets outcomes, especially if the contract depends on margins, goals, corners, cards or similar contingencies.
For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the match proceeds on schedule with no administrative change to kick-off or settlement timing. FotMob’s listed XIs show Shanghai starting Rafael Ratão and Wuhan with Jhonder Cádiz, which matters for any goal-related sub-markets, while the live market page on Lines is already pricing related over/under positions, suggesting the broader scoring environment is the main dependency. The on-chain mechanics are straightforward: if you are long YES, your USDC is tied up in Polygon-based conditional tokens until the market resolves, so any late change in the official match feed or market definition is what would matter most before settlement.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC - More Mar… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →