Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| North Carolina O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of north carolina vs. pittsburgh. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between North Carolina and Pittsburgh, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $525K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh on Kalshi UK
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