Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Florida vs. Auburn | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| O/U 66.5 | 100% |
| O/U 68.5 | 100% |
| O/U 70.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Florida O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Florida O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Florida O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Florida O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Florida O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| Auburn O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Auburn O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Auburn O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| Auburn O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Auburn O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Florida 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Florida 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Florida 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Florida 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Florida 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Florida 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 91% |
| Auburn O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| Florida O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Jadan Baugh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Byrum Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah Cobb: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Vernell Brown III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Philo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Omar Mabson II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keshaun Singleton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah Koger: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dallas Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Duke Clark: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chas Nimrod: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Mays Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bailey Stockton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| London Montgomery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Harpring: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Abrams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jake Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tae Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeShawn Spencer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Amir Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Echols: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lacota Dippre: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Florida vs. Auburn. In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Auburn, scheduled for September 19 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "A…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
This page reviews Florida vs. Auburn across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Florida vs. Auburn on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →