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Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $230K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Match O/U 38.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Match O/U 36.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Match O/U 40.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 4 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 4 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 4 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic0%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set Handicap +/-2.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 4 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Set 2 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic. This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Dino Prizmic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Ada…

Methodology

We track Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic on Kalshi UK

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Related Topics

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