Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 Winner | 100% Gaubas | 0% Lajovic |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic Set 3 Winner | 0% Gaubas | 100% Lajovic |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 Winner | 0% Gaubas | 100% Lajovic |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon, qualification atp: vilius gaubas vs dusan lajovic stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Dusan Lajovic in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This marke…
Methodology
This page reviews Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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