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Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet

Five-platform snapshot of "Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5 65% Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.5 51% Completed Match 50% Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $281K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.565%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 21.550%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 22.550%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet48%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 Winner48%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 Winner48%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 23.547%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 2.544%
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.527%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, canadian open: marton fucsovics vs corentin moutet stands at 65% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Marton Fucsovics and Corentin Moutet in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We track Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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