Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set 2 Winner | 100% Burruchaga | 0% Fery |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery | 0% Roman Andres Burruchaga | 100% Arthur Fery |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Burruchaga | 100% Fery |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Fery | 100% Burruchaga |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lexus eastbourne open: roman andres burruchaga vs arthur fery stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Arthur Fery in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This mark…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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