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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Five-platform snapshot of "PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Kurt Kitayama 45% Scottie Scheffler 42% Tom Kim 35% Jake Knapp 30% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $121K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
45% 55% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
45% 55% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kurt Kitayama45%
Scottie Scheffler42%
Tom Kim35%
Jake Knapp30%
Maverick McNealy25%
Hideki Matsuyama24%
Keith Mitchell20%
Jackson Koivun20%
Corey Conners20%
Ben Kohles19%
Jordan L. Smith18%
Sung-Jae Im18%
Mac Meissner18%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout18%
Pierceson Coody17%
Jackson Suber17%
Doug Ghim17%
Benjamin James17%
Sam Stevens17%
Casey Jarvis17%
Taylor Moore17%
Max Homa16%
Johnny Keefer16%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen16%
Michael Kim16%
Brian Harman16%
Max McGreevy16%
Tony Finau15%
Gary Woodland14%
Michael Brennan14%
Max Greyserman14%
Davis Thompson14%
Ricky Castillo14%
Beau Hossler14%
John Parry14%
Andrew Putnam14%
Denny McCarthy14%
Zac Blair14%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju13%
William Mouw13%
Kevin Yu13%
Mackenzie Hughes13%
Zach Bauchou13%
Keita Nakajima13%
Taylor Pendrith12%
Steven Fisk12%
Emiliano Grillo12%
Rico Hoey12%
Lee Hodges12%
Takumi Kanaya12%
Aldrich Potgieter11%
Lucas Glover11%
Jesper Svensson11%
Seamus Power11%
Austin Smotherman11%
Tom Hoge11%
Kevin Roy11%
Joel Dahmen11%
Brandt Snedeker11%
Stephan Jaeger10%
Preston Stout10%
Hao-Tong Li10%
Thorbjorn Olesen10%
Billy Horschel10%
Ze-Cheng Dou10%
Matt Kuchar10%
Chris Kirk10%
Kristoffer Ventura10%
Austin Eckroat10%
Patrick Fishburn9%
A.J. Ewart9%
Garrick Higgo9%
Chad Ramey9%
David Lipsky9%
Patrick Rodgers8%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart8%
Matthieu Pavon8%
Nick Dunlap8%
Karl Vilips8%
Neal Shipley8%
David Skinns8%
Chandler Phillips8%
Lanto Griffin8%
Erik Van Rooyen7%
Luke Clanton7%
Trace Crowe7%
Aaron Wise7%
Mark Hubbard7%
Adam Hadwin7%
Ryder Cowan6%
Gordon Sargent6%
Pontus Nyholm6%
Hayden Springer6%
Harry Higgs6%
Vince Whaley6%
Luke List5%
Cameron Champ5%
Jimmy Stanger5%
S.Y. Noh1%
Jason Day0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 45% YES probability for PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not anno…

Methodology

This page reviews PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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