Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

PSG and Arsenal are scheduled to meet in a UEFA Champions League fixture on 30 May 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 16:00 UTC the same day. The market prices exact final scores only—90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Currently trading at 0% YES across listed outcomes, the contract reflects either extremely tight pricing on individual scorelines or genuine uncertainty about which specific result will occur, with any unmatched score resolving to "Any Other Score."

Historical Champions League finals and semi-finals between comparable sides show exact-score markets typically concentrate liquidity on narrow ranges: 1–0, 1–1, 2–1, and 2–0 outcomes account for roughly 65–75% of regulation-time results in knockout fixtures. PSG's recent European form has favoured low-scoring contests, whilst Arsenal's away record in continental competition remains mixed. The 0% reading on individual outcomes suggests traders are either hedging across multiple scorelines or waiting for team news before committing capital to specific results.

Key catalysts include confirmed squad availability closer to the fixture date, particularly injury status for PSG's attacking players and Arsenal's defensive personnel. Weather conditions in the host city and recent form trajectories in domestic leagues through May will influence pace and defensive solidity. Polymarket's conditional token structure on Polygon means positions settle in USDC once the final whistle confirms the actual scoreline, with any deviation triggering resolution to the catch-all outcome. Settlement window closure at 16:00 UTC allows minimal post-match dispute window.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.