Panama vs. England - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 27 June 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, Panama faces England in a FIFA World Cup Group L match at MetLife Stadium, with the game resolving after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. The prediction market “Panama vs. England – Exact Score” currently prices the chance of a specific listed outcome at 3% YES, reflecting the overwhelming likelihood that the final score will fall outside the explicitly offered options. This low probability aligns with historical patterns: England has dominated Panama in past encounters, including a 6–1 victory where Panama scored its first-ever World Cup goal, yet Panama has lost all five of its prior World Cup matches[2][7]. Such mismatches often produce wide scorelines, making exact-score bets on specific outcomes inherently risky.

Traders should monitor England’s pre-match training reports and Panama’s tactical adjustments ahead of the fixture, as both teams are finalising their World Cup campaigns[1][4]. England’s squad, featuring Harry Kane and Declan Rice, is expected to press for a decisive win, while Panama aims to secure a positive result in its final Group L game[4]. Key dependencies include any late injury announcements, starting line-ups, and weather conditions at MetLife Stadium, where doors open at 2:00 PM and parking opens at 1:00 PM[3]. The BBC will broadcast live coverage from 8:30 PM UK time, offering real-time insights into team dynamics[5]. On Polymarket, this contract settles via USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens, with prices updating in response to on-chain volume and news flow.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Panama vs. England - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.