Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Egypt and Iran meet tonight at Seattle Stadium in a FIFA World Cup Group G clash, with the match kicking off at 03:00 UTC on 27 June 2026. On Polymarket, the “Exact Score” contract for this fixture currently trades at 16% YES, reflecting a tight on-chain valuation where USDC liquidity on Polygon supports conditional tokens for each listed outcome. The market resolves strictly after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and shoot-outs, with any unlisted score defaulting to “Any Other Score”.

Historically, World Cup group-stage matches between teams of similar standing—such as Egypt’s 3-1 win over New Zealand and Iran’s 1-1 draw with Belgium—have produced low-scoring, defensive outcomes, often settling at 0-0, 1-0, or 1-1. Egypt averages 1.2 goals per match with 0.8 conceded, while Iran’s recent form shows a 0-2-0 record in the group, suggesting both sides prioritise structure over flair. This pattern frames the 16% probability as plausible for a narrow exact score, given the teams’ cautious approaches in high-stakes tournament play.

Traders should monitor pre-match line-ups released by FIFA and any late injury updates, particularly for Egypt’s clinical attackers and Iran’s defensive core. The match coincides with the tournament’s Pride initiative, which may influence crowd dynamics but not on-field tactics. Recent coverage from FOX Sports notes the combined goal total is set at 1.5, reinforcing expectations of a low-scoring affair. With the settlement window closing at 03:00 UTC on 27 June, all on-chain positions will settle based solely on the final score after regulation time.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.