# of views of MrBeast video week 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket’s current 0% crowd price implies traders are not assigning any meaningful chance to the YES bracket, which is plausible in a contract that settles on a very specific seven-day view range rather than on “strong performance” in the abstract. On Polymarket, the position is held through USDC on Polygon, with the eventual payoff determined by the relevant conditional token resolving against the official view count on MrBeast’s channel.

The historical guide here is MrBeast’s own first-week ceiling and floor. Public trackers and recent market notes show his long-form uploads can move from roughly 35 million first-day views into the 70-90 million week-one zone, while outlier concepts have pushed much higher[4][6][8]. Independent analytics sites also put his average video performance well above 100 million over time, which helps explain why traders often treat broad first-week brackets as more informative than day-one snapshots[13]. The most recent comparable Polymarket market resolved to the 80-90 million band after MrBeast’s April 2026 release reached 80.9 million views at seven days, showing how tightly these contracts track the official YouTube counter[6].

For the next print, the main catalysts are upload timing, title/thumbnail strength, and whether the video is another large-scale stunt or a smaller concept. The contract does not care about Shorts, previews, or other uploads; it resolves only on the first YouTube video posted after market creation, and it falls to the lowest bracket if no video arrives by the deadline. Recent tracking pages have shown MrBeast still capable of pulling 10-25 million views in the first day on major uploads, with some concepts clearing 30 million quickly, so a trader watching this market will focus on the first 24 hours and the pace of any external promotion across YouTube and social channels[2][4][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track # of views of MrBeast video week 1? across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.