# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first two days online, with Polymarket currently pricing the conditional token at zero, suggesting traders assess the probability of hitting any of the defined bracket thresholds as negligible. The market settles on the view count reported by YouTube's public counter at the 48-hour mark, with resolution delayed until that window closes regardless of earlier bracket strikes. Settlement occurs by 1 June 2026, giving traders a defined endpoint for USDC settlement on Polygon.

Historical performance of MrBeast uploads shows substantial variance depending on content type and timing. His recent videos have routinely exceeded 100 million views within 48 hours—notably "I Gave Away $1,000,000" reached approximately 150 million views in that window—though some lower-profile uploads have underperformed relative to his channel average. The 0% probability currently implied suggests the market may be pricing in either an extended gap since his last upload, uncertainty about whether a new video will post before settlement, or structural illiquidity in the contract itself rather than genuine scepticism about his content's reach.

Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule closely, as the market depends entirely on a video being posted and completing its 48-hour tracking period before 1 June. Any announcement regarding channel hiatuses, format changes, or platform shifts would materially affect settlement conditions. Recent YouTube algorithm adjustments and seasonal viewership patterns in May and early June may also influence initial velocity, though MrBeast's audience engagement historically remains robust across seasons.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.