# of views of MrBeast video day 5?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast’s latest upload has to finish its first 120 hours with a view count that lands in one of the market’s brackets, and Polymarket is currently pricing the contract at 0% for YES in the bracket implied by the market. On Polymarket, traders back the outcome with USDC on Polygon, with conditional tokens settling at $1 if the reported view count matches the selected range once the 120-hour window closes. The reference point is the public view counter on MrBeast’s YouTube channel, not third-party analytics.

For context, the market is effectively asking whether the video can hold a specific day-five trajectory, which is why early momentum and post-launch decay matter more than a single opening spike. MrBeast’s scale remains unusually high, but recent discussion has focused on whether his views have softened relative to prior peaks. Social Blade still provides a live way to track daily channel performance, while a recent Times of India report noted MrBeast pushing back on claims that his views had “dropped by 50%”. That sort of debate matters because a market like this tends to price not just raw audience size, but whether his latest release is tracking above or below his own recent baseline.

Traders watching this contract should keep an eye on the timing and title of the upload, any change to the publishing cadence, and whether a new video is clearly outperforming or underperforming recent comparable uploads by day five. If the video is part of a challenge format, a collaboration, or a heavily promoted release, that can alter the 120-hour curve materially. Since settlement depends on YouTube’s public counter at the close of the window, the actionable inputs are the channel’s upload schedule, any spikes in external promotion, and how quickly views accumulate after the initial surge has passed.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track # of views of MrBeast video day 5? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.