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# of views of MrBeast video day 4?

Five-platform snapshot of "# of views of MrBeast video day 4?" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $261K Closes: 20 May 2026
Trade on PolyGram →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

53–54M0% YES100% NO
55–56M100% YES0% NO
58M+0% YES100% NO
54–55M0% YES100% NO
<53M0% YES100% NO
56–57M0% YES100% NO

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 0% for YES, with shares settled in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens once the 96-hour views total is known from MrBeast’s YouTube counter. In practical terms, the market is saying the current bracket is effectively nailed down and that there is no live disagreement on the day-four range. Because resolution is based on the reported view count for the latest MrBeast upload, the only thing that matters to holders is the exact bracket boundary when the channel’s public counter is checked at the end of the window.

That sort of certainty is usually driven by how far the video has already travelled relative to MrBeast’s recent upload history. Comparable signals from third-party trackers suggest his uploads can land anywhere from tens of millions into the 100m-plus range within a few days, but the distribution is lumpy: the latest videos have not all followed the same trajectory, and even a small difference in pace can move the result across adjacent brackets. Viewstats and Social Blade are the closest real-time reference points traders typically use to sanity-check whether the video is tracking above or below recent comps, while HypeAuditor still shows MrBeast’s channel capable of very large monthly and 30-day view totals.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: the upload timing, thumbnail or title changes, and whether MrBeast posts follow-up promotion across YouTube, X, or Instagram, all of which can alter the first 96-hour run-rate. Any schedule shift or delayed release matters because the market keys off the video’s actual posting time, not the announcement time. Recent commentary from creator-analytics coverage, including the Think Media discussion on YouTube’s heavier distribution of views across more channels, is a useful backdrop: broad platform traffic does not guarantee a uniform early burst, so the market can still move if engagement weakens or accelerates unexpectedly.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 4? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

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