Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score

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Market context

On Wednesday, 24 June 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, Morocco and Haiti will meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta for the final Group C fixture of the FIFA World Cup 2026. The market "Morocco vs. Haiti – Exact Score" currently prices at 5% YES on Polymarket, reflecting the on-chain conditional token mechanism where USDC on the Polygon network settles outcomes based solely on the 90-minute result, excluding extra time and shoot-outs. This low probability signals that the crowd views a specific exact score as a rare event in a match where Morocco is heavily favoured.

Historically, Haiti’s World Cup record offers a stark frame for interpreting this 5% figure: they have lost all five of their previous FIFA World Cup matches, scoring just two goals while conceding 18, a defensive frailty that makes a high-scoring exact outcome unlikely [1]. Morocco, meanwhile, has won two of their last five matches with an average of 2.4 points per game and only 0.4 opponent points conceded, suggesting a tight, controlled performance rather than a chaotic scoreline [4]. Comparable Group C fixtures in recent World Cups often resolve to 1-0 or 2-0 margins when a strong side faces a historically weak one, further diluting the chance of any single exact score hitting.

Traders should monitor the final squad announcements and any late weather updates for Atlanta Stadium, as these dependencies directly influence the conditional token settlement [3]. Morocco’s recent 1-0 win against Scotland and 1-1 draw with Brazil indicate a disciplined defensive approach, while Haiti’s inability to score in their last two matches (0 goals in 180 minutes) reinforces the likelihood of a low-scoring affair [2]. With the settlement window closing at 22:00 UTC on 24 June, the market remains open only if the match is postponed, making real-time on-chain liquidity on Polygon critical for positioning before the final whistle.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.