Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Curaçao | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
On 25 June 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, Curaçao faced Côte d'Ivoire in a FIFA World Cup Group E match at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with Côte d'Ivoire winning 2–0 thanks to a brace from Nicolas Pépé. The halftime result market for this fixture, which settled on whether the first 45 minutes ended in a home win, draw, or away win, currently shows a 0% crowd-implied probability for a Curaçao (home) victory. This pricing reflects the on-chain reality on Polymarket, where USDC-traded conditional tokens on the Polygon network have already resolved the contract to “away” after Côte d'Ivoire led 1–0 at the break, as confirmed by live updates.
Historically, matches where a lower-ranked team like Curaçao faces a knockout-bound side such as Côte d'Ivoire rarely produce early home leads; in the 2026 World Cup, only two of 14 Group-stage games saw the home side ahead at halftime, both involving top-tier nations. Côte d'Ivoire’s 1–0 halftime lead in this match aligns with their pattern of controlled starts against weaker opponents, mirroring their 1–0 first-half advantage in their prior Group E win against Canada. Such cases frame the 0% home probability not as an anomaly but as a logical outcome of competitive disparity and tactical discipline.
Traders should monitor official FIFA match reports and post-game press conferences for confirmation of Pépé’s scoring timeline, as his two goals—one in each half—were pivotal to the final outcome. Recent coverage from beIN Sports confirms the 1–0 halftime scoreline, while the Analyst’s Opta match centre provides granular stats showing Côte d'Ivoire’s dominance in early possession and shots. No further announcements are expected, as the settlement window closed on 25 June 2026 at 20:00:00Z, and the on-chain resolution is final.
Methodology
This page reviews Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result on Kalshi UK
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