Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Germany | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the Germany–Côte d’Ivoire halftime contract at **0% YES** across the available outcomes, with settlement tied to the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time and collateralised in **USDC** on **Polygon** through conditional tokens. In practical terms, that means the market is treating a non-zero halftime payoff as effectively unavailable on the current order book, even though the underlying match is still a live football contest scheduled for 4:00 PM ET.[1][3]
For context, halftime-result markets are often more volatile than full-time markets because they depend on pace, early pressure, and lineup choices rather than final superiority. Germany were listed at 50¢ and the draw at 37¢ on a comparable prediction-market venue before kick-off, which suggests traders initially expected Germany to be the likelier side to lead at the break, but not with the certainty implied by a 0% price in this contract.[1] Reports before the match also pointed to Germany fielding an unchanged XI after a 7–1 win over Curaçao, while Côte d’Ivoire had Amad Diallo available, both of which are the kind of pre-match inputs that can matter more for first-half trading than for the full 90 minutes.[4]
The main catalysts for traders are line-up confirmation, late injury news, and whether either side rotates because of group-stage scheduling or qualification incentives; those factors change first-half tempo quickly. Match timing is fixed, but live market repricing can be sharp once kick-off approaches and the first 10–15 minutes reveal pressing intensity, possession share, and set-piece frequency. Coverage from The Athletic, The Times, Sky Sports, and ESPN confirms the fixture details and provides the pre-match team context traders would monitor before the halftime token settles.[3][4][7][9]
Methodology
This page reviews Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result on Kalshi UK
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