Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 24 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, Bosnia-Herzegovina will face Qatar in a critical FIFA World Cup Group B match, where both sides sit on a single point and a win is essential to avoid elimination. The prediction market for the exact score currently trades at a 5% implied probability for the listed outcome, reflecting the tightness of the contest and the uncertainty of the final result.

Historically, matches between these nations have been low-scoring and drawn, with Bosnia winning just one of their last five encounters while four ended in draws, averaging 0.8 goals per match and 1.4 conceded [1]. This pattern of defensive caution and frequent stalemates frames the current 5% probability as plausible, given that World Cup knockout-stage pressure often suppresses goal totals, especially when both teams are desperate to avoid defeat.

Traders should monitor pre-match line-ups and training reports, as both squads have been intensifying preparations ahead of this must-win fixture [4][6]. Any announcement regarding key player fitness, particularly Edin Dzeko for Bosnia, could shift market dynamics significantly, while the conditional tokens on Polygon (settled in USDC) will adjust instantly to such on-chain catalysts. The market remains open until the match is completed if postponed, with settlement finalising at 19:00:00 UTC on 24 June 2026.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.