Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup match between Egypt and IR Iran concluded in a 1–1 draw at Seattle Stadium on 26 June, with Egypt advancing to the round of 32 to face Australia while Iran awaits confirmation of knockout qualification [1][2]. In the prediction market titled “Egypt vs. IR Iran – Total Corners”, the contract currently trades at 0% probability for the “Yes” outcome, reflecting on-chain consensus that Iran will not reach four corners in regulation or extra time [5].

Historically, matches between these sides in the last five encounters show Iran averaging just 0.8 opponent points per game and a low total points over percentage of 25%, suggesting a defensive, low-corner profile [6]. Comparable Group G fixtures in this tournament have also featured tight defensive structures, with total corners markets often resolving below 6.5, reinforcing the market’s current pricing [8].

Traders should monitor official FIFA announcements regarding Iran’s knockout status, as a confirmed elimination could reduce attacking urgency and further suppress corner counts [1]. Additionally, the match referee, Szymon Marciniak, has a known tendency for strict foul management, which can limit attacking transitions and corner opportunities [7]. No recent news source has indicated a shift in Iran’s tactical approach, so the 0% probability remains well-supported by on-chain data and historical patterns [4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.