Ethereum price on May 23?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ethereum's spot price against the US dollar will be sampled at a precise moment—the close of the 1-minute candle at noon Eastern Time on 23 May 2026—across Binance's ETH/USDT pair. The 0% crowd probability reflects either extreme confidence in a specific price bracket or minimal trading activity; with settlement nearly two years away, the market lacks the granular price discovery typical of nearer-term contracts. On Polymarket, this resolves via conditional tokens backed by USDC on Polygon, meaning traders holding YES positions would receive payouts only if Ethereum closes within the specified range at that exact timestamp.

Historical precedent suggests wide dispersion in Ethereum's price across single-day windows. Between May 2021 and May 2023, ETH ranged from under $1,700 to over $4,800 across comparable timeframes, demonstrating how macro conditions, regulatory announcements, and Bitcoin correlation drive intraday volatility. A 0% probability typically signals either that the bracket is perceived as statistically implausible given long-term price distributions, or that traders have concentrated positions in adjacent brackets rather than this specific one.

Catalysts shaping Ethereum's trajectory through 2026 include Ethereum Foundation protocol upgrades, institutional adoption metrics, and macroeconomic policy shifts affecting risk assets broadly. Regulatory clarity from the SEC and EU frameworks will likely influence positioning. Traders should monitor quarterly Ethereum development roadmap updates and any major staking or validator network changes, as these historically correlate with price repricing events.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.