Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Team Vitality face FUT Esports in a lower bracket quarterfinal at VCT Masters London on 16 June, a best-of-three Valorant match that determines progression toward the tournament's semi-finals. The Polymarket contract currently trades at 100% implied probability for Vitality, reflecting their status as the significantly favoured side. Settlement occurs at 22:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with conditional tokens on Polygon resolving based on match outcome or triggering the 50-50 tie clause if the fixture is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or remains incomplete.
Vitality's dominance in European Valorant and their track record in international competition frames this pricing. The French organisation has consistently performed at Masters events and maintains a roster with proven playoff experience, whereas FUT Esports represents a lower-seeded challenger. Historical lower bracket matchups involving clear skill disparities typically see the favoured team priced between 75–85% on prediction markets; the 100% reading here suggests traders view an upset as negligible rather than merely unlikely.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling announcements and any roster changes or player availability issues in the days preceding 16 June. Valorant's competitive calendar occasionally experiences fixture delays due to technical issues or unforeseen circumstances, which would trigger the extended resolution window. Recent VCT events have proceeded on schedule, though the conditional token mechanics mean even minor delays beyond the seven-day threshold would flip the market to 50-50 rather than extending the settlement window.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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