Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Global Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Global Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Global Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Global Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Global Esports |
Market context
Leviatán Esports face Global Esports in a best-of-three Valorant match at VCT Masters London on 7 June, with the fixture scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. The conditional token contract on Polymarket currently prices Leviatán at near-certain odds, reflecting their status as the stronger regional representative. Settlement hinges on a decisive result within the scheduled window; if the match is postponed beyond seven days without completion, or cancelled outright, the contract resolves 50-50 across both outcomes.
Leviatán's dominance in the Latin American circuit and consistent international showings have established them as favourites in most VCT group-stage matchups. Global Esports, representing the Indian region, have shown improvement in recent VCT competitions but remain less proven at the Masters level. Historical precedent suggests regional powerhouses from larger competitive ecosystems tend to command 70–85% implied probability in analogous fixtures, though upsets do occur when preparation gaps narrow or meta shifts favour underdog playstyles.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling announcements for any postponements, as the seven-day delay clause creates a hard boundary for resolution. Team roster changes or last-minute stand-ins could shift match dynamics; both organisations typically announce lineup confirmations 24–48 hours before group-stage play. Broadcast delays are common at international events, but these do not trigger the tie-resolution clause—only cancellation or failure to produce a winner within the settlement window does.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) -… on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Kalshi UK →