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LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Any Player Penta Kill 52% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Any Player Quadra Kill 51% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 50% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $342K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Game 2 Winner40%
Game 1 Winner38%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)38%
Match Winner34%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: ucam esports club vs team heretics academy (bo3) - les regular season stands at 52% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between UCAM Esports Club and Team Heretics Academy in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 14 at 1:30PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We track LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3… on Kalshi UK

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