LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the Solary–Vitality.Bee BO1 at **0% YES**, which in practice means the contract is treating a Solary win as a near-impossible outcome and, on Polygon, the USDC-backed conditional token market is sitting at the floor. For traders, that is only meaningful if the match is actually played and settled within the market’s rules: a normal Vitality.Bee win resolves the token to 0, while cancellation, a tie, or an unresolved delay beyond seven days pushes settlement to 50-50.

The recent head-to-head record frames why Solary is being discounted so heavily. Across several listed meetings in 2025 and 2026, Vitality.Bee has generally held the upper hand overall, with some sources showing a clear lifetime edge, even though Solary did beat them in April 2026 and again in a January 2026 BO1. That mix matters because a single-map League of Legends market is high variance, but the broader match history still leans towards Vitality.Bee as the more reliable baseline, which is consistent with a contract trading at the extreme end of the range.

The main catalysts are straightforward: whether the LFL schedule keeps this fixture on stream, whether the teams field their expected line-ups, and whether any late postponement or administrative issue affects completion before the settlement window closes. Match listings today still show a live or recently active series page for Solary versus Vitality.Bee, which suggests the event is either underway or was staged on schedule rather than cancelled outright. For a prediction-market holder, the practical watchpoints are the league broadcast status, official result posts, and any forfeiture language, because those details determine whether the contract resolves normally or snaps to the special 50-50 rule.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.