Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
The League of Legends match between ROSSMANN Centaurs and Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition in the Prime League 1st Division has already concluded, with Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition securing a 1–0 victory earlier today. This result renders the Polymarket contract for a Centaurs win effectively worthless, as the underlying event has been settled on the field. On-chain, the conditional tokens for the YES outcome (Centaurs win) are trading at 0% USDC on Polygon, reflecting the definitive loss rather than speculative doubt.
Historical data confirms Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition’s overwhelming dominance over ROSSMANN Centaurs across multiple Prime League seasons. In their Winter 2025 encounter, Strafe users predicted a UOL Sexy Edition win with 90.1% of votes, a forecast that materialised [4]. Similarly, during the Spring 2026 split, bookmakers assigned UOL Sexy Edition average odds of 1.13 against Centaurs’ 5.217, and the team won 0–1 in just 30 minutes [5]. The 100% user vote for UOL Sexy Edition in the Summer 2026 match [2] aligns perfectly with the current 0% market probability for Centaurs.
Traders should monitor the official Prime League settlement announcement to confirm the match’s finalisation and avoid any delayed resolution risks. Since the game ended before the settlement window closes on 18 July 2026, no further catalysts like roster changes or schedule shifts will alter the outcome. The on-chain mechanics will automatically resolve the contract to “Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition” once the oracle confirms the result, liquidating all YES positions at zero value.
Methodology
We track LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edit… on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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