Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 3? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
RED Canids and LOS will contest the CBLOL lower bracket final on 31 May at 12:00 PM ET, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The match is a best-of-five series. On Polymarket, conditional tokens for this outcome are currently priced at zero, reflecting the market's assessment that settlement hinges on match completion rather than predictive uncertainty about the teams' relative strength. The 0% YES probability signals traders are pricing in either cancellation risk or expecting the conditional token mechanism to resolve to 50-50 rather than a decisive outcome.
CBLOL lower bracket finals have historically proceeded as scheduled, with cancellations or forfeits rare in recent seasons. The 2024 CBLOL playoffs ran without significant delays or unplayed matches, establishing a baseline for fixture reliability. However, the resolution criteria—which triggers 50-50 settlement if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion—creates a distinct pricing dynamic. Traders holding YES tokens face binary risk: either RED Canids wins decisively, or the match fails to conclude within the window, collapsing the position to even odds.
The critical catalyst is fixture confirmation from CBLOL organisers in the days preceding 31 May. Team roster changes, player availability, or scheduling conflicts with other esports events could trigger postponement. Polymarket's on-chain settlement typically relies on external data feeds; confirmation of match start time and completion status will determine whether conditional tokens resolve to a winner or split 50-50. Any announcement of rescheduling beyond 7 June would immediately collapse YES token value to 0.50 USDC.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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