LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

GAM Esports face Deep Cross Gaming in the LCP Playoffs upper bracket semifinal on 30 May, a best-of-five match that will determine progression toward the League of Legends Championship Series finals. The 0% YES pricing on Polymarket reflects either extreme confidence in Deep Cross Gaming or minimal liquidity in this particular conditional token pair on Polygon—a common pattern for regional esports matchups where trading volume concentrates on major regions like LEC and LCS.

GAM Esports have historically dominated Vietnamese League of Legends competition, winning multiple LCP titles and consistently qualifying for international events. Deep Cross Gaming, by contrast, represents a newer competitive force in the region. Historical precedent suggests GAM's experience in high-stakes playoff formats and their track record against domestic opposition should weigh heavily, yet the 0% market price suggests traders either lack confidence in GAM's current roster strength or see structural disadvantages in this specific matchup that public information has not yet fully priced.

Traders monitoring this contract should track roster announcements and scrim results in the days preceding 30 May, as last-minute substitutions or injury disclosures can shift competitive balance significantly. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day; any delay beyond seven days without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. Watch for LCP official communications regarding scheduling confirmations and any format changes, as regional esports fixtures occasionally shift with minimal notice. Current USDC liquidity on this conditional token pair will determine execution costs for positions taken ahead of the scheduled 05:00 ET start.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.