LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket’s contract is trading at **36% YES** for DN SOOPers, so the market is pricing HANJIN BRION as the likelier winner in this best-of-three on Polygon, with settlement governed by the usual USDC-based conditional token outcome rather than the scoreboard alone. The event itself is a scheduled LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group match, with live listings showing the fixture for 2 August and the market description pointing to a 4:00AM ET start.[2][7]

That price sits in line with the recent head-to-head picture. HANJIN BRION have dominated the matchup historically, winning 6 of the 8 recorded meetings, and the most recent result was a 2-0 BRION win in the spring LCK split.[15][13] Current standings data also show BRION above DN SOOPers in Group B, while recent form on match trackers has BRION ahead on raw team results and series outcomes, even if some shorter-run stat models narrow the gap somewhat.[2][3][5]

For traders, the key catalysts are simple and mechanical: confirm the series actually starts on schedule, watch for any official LCK rescheduling notices, and check whether the teams field standard line-ups or late roster changes before lock. If the match is delayed more than seven days from the scheduled date, canceled, or left without a winner, the contract resolves 50-50 under Polymarket’s rules, which matters as much here as the on-stage result.[7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.